Revisão e proposta para atualização da diretriz metodológica de análise de impacto orçamentário de tecnologia em saúde para o SUS

Abstract

Objectives: To make a proposal to update the guideline with a standardization of the methods and do a critical analysis of the points considered most relevant to the formulation of a study of Budget Impact Analysis. Methods: Literature review, data extraction, selection of basic steps to do a budget impact analysis, presentation of results for discussion with experts. Results: 1,215 titles were retrieved, of which 6 were eligible for qualitative synthesis and definition of the analytical framework to design and build a model of budgetary impact: analysis perspective; estimate the taget population; temporal horizon; rate of incorporation of the new technology into the market (“market share”); estimate costs; data sources; discount rate and presentation of the final result. Recommendations: the perspective of the analysis should be that of the payer; the estimation of the eligible population from epidemiological data from the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE) preferably; time horizon of 2 to 5 years; rate of incorporation with official data; direct costs estimated from hospital admission authorization and government shopping sites; official data sources and presentation of results in table and incremental impact year by year. Conclusions: Budget Impact Analysis is a tool designed to assist the manager, that trying to guarantee a fiscal balance to the system against the innumerable demands of society. This characteristic is fundamental in today’s world where transparency and responsibility in spending are increasingly frequent demands on the part of the citizen.