Budget impact model of the use of consecutive single embryo transfers compared to double embryo transfer in in vitro fertilization procedures in the Brazilian Private Healthcare System

Abstract

Objective: To estimate the five-year budget impact of incorporating the sequential single embryo transfer (SET) technique into the Brazilian Supplementary Healthcare System (BSHS). Methods: Live birth rates of 41% and multiple pregnancy rates of 2% and 30% were considered for SET and DET (double transfer embryo), respectively. The costs of the procedures were mostly obtained from e SIMPRO, CBHPM and CMED tables. To estimate the eligible population, we considered women aged 20-35 years registered in DATASUS, and infertility and in vitro fertilization (IVF) rates from the literature. The use of sequential SET and DET was estimated as 20% and 80%, respectively, with incorporation of the first in 45%, 50%, 55%, 65% and 75% of cases in the subsequent five years. Results: Considering scenarios with reimbursement of 1 to 2 cycles of sequential SET and inclusion or not of the drugs in the reimbursement, the budget impact in five years would be between BRL 10,231,387-16,123,874 in large operators, BRL 1,054,174-1,661,297 in midsize operators and BRL 173,700-273,738 in small operators. In a scenario of progressive increase of the use of sequential.